https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/h ... /35157347/
Now all eyes are on Justify, who might have one major factor in his favor. His owners and Baffert have connections to Audible, My Boy Jack and Solomini, who ultimately might not be entered in the Belmont because they could threaten Justify's chances of finishing off the Triple Crown.
I hope all enter and Justify beats them all... if he gets off "easy" and wins the TC there will forever be an asterisk in my mind, although this type of thing has likely happened in the past.
incidentally (and unrelated to what I just posted): the Preakness TimeformUS fig came back stronger than the BSF (if one attempts to compare them, which is not really optimal), mainly because the BSF does not account for pace as strongly as TFUS. From what I read, converting the TFUS fig to BSF would give J something in the 105-108 area, if one accounts for the protracted duel he was in with Good Magic. That's just another opinion on his performance, but possibly something to keep in mind going forward.
Yeah, I think his TF numbers have been pretty consistently the strongest of his figures for a while now. I know the figure maker is confident about this one, so it's worth keeping in mind. In addition, his Bris came back as a 98 and his Ragozin is predicted to be a 7, both of which I believe are pretty major regressions. Not sure about Thorograph.
I'm not expecting them to keep Audible in, but they absolutely should. As far as direct historical comparisons go, none immediately come to mind but it would be a lot of fun to investigate. One case study that has always interested me is Citation vs. Coaltown in the 1948 Derby. Coaltown took a long lead, finished second to Citation, then to my memory he never faced Citation again, stuck to sprints as a 3yo, then only truly came to prominence in 1949 when Citation was injured. My grandfather always swore up and down that Coaltown, despite possibly being Citation's equal, would never have been allowed to win the Derby and was never really asked in the race. Was he right? Check out the video and judge for yourself! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ku1jG-sdNFE