Fountain of Youth

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stark
Posts: 4490
Joined: Thu Oct 03, 2013 9:55 am
Location: SoCal

Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:56 am

1 Code of Honor (KY) 3/C L J R Velazquez 116 C R McGaughey III
2 Epic Dreamer (KY) 3/C L T Gaffalione 116 K J Breen
3 Gladiator King (KY) 3/C L J Solorzano 120 J Mejia
4 Bourbon War (KY) Owner Link 3/C L I Ortiz, Jr. 116 M A Hennig
5 Vekoma (KY) 3/C L1 M Franco 122 G Weaver
6 Signalman (KY) 3/C L B J Hernandez, Jr. 122 K G McPeek
7 Hidden Scroll (KY) 3/C L J Rosario 116 W I Mott
8 Global Campaign (KY) 3/C L L Saez 116 S M Hough
9 Everfast (KY) 3/C L C Landeros 116 D L Romans
10 Frosted Grace (KY) 3/C L J J Gonzales 116 K Ritvo
11 Union's Destiny (KY) 3/C L L Reyes 116 J C Avila
I've found it easier to tear up tickets at 8/1 instead of 8/5.
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Raven
Posts: 1315
Joined: Thu Sep 12, 2013 6:56 pm

Thu Feb 28, 2019 10:10 pm

Code of Honor

I'll give him another chance to redeem himself

Mott's horse was visually impressive on the slop.but i don't know what to make of his win.
You will soon break the bow if you keep it always stretched ~Faedus~
stark
Posts: 4490
Joined: Thu Oct 03, 2013 9:55 am
Location: SoCal

Thu Feb 28, 2019 10:53 pm

https://www.horseracingnation.com/news/ ... d_analysis#
Matt Shifman


Code of Honor [ML 6-1 – Noble Mission – S. McGaughey/J. Velazquez – 3: 1-1-0 - $151,700 – 4 Derby points] Trainer Shug McGaughey put four breezes into Code of Honor since his disappointing performance in the Mucho Macho Man. That race hasn't produced others having an impact on the Derby trail, so it's unsure what to expect from this son of Noble Mission as he faces a deep group of prospects. I’d like to see him show some speed and get engaged in the race early on. Use underneath.


Epic Dreamer [ML 20-1 – Orb – K. Breen/T. Gaffalione 4: 1-1-0 - $73,050 – 1 Derby point] Epic Dreamer deserves this additional chance on the Derby trail after a tough trip in the Springboard Mile, then coming back to set blazing fractions and fade in the Holy Bull (G2). Rushing a horse like that was out of character for jockey Irad Ortiz Jr, though the Kelly Breen trainee did win his maiden race on the lead setting more manageable fractions. He will have to be rated to some degree if he is going to have any chance here. Toss

Gladiator King [ML 50-1 – Curlin – J. Mejia/J. Solorzano – 9: 3-1-0 - $97,300 – 0 Derby points] The most experienced horse in the field has run 10 times with a stakes win at Tampa Bay Downs on the slop in December. After going off at 202-1 while finishing ninth, beaten by 28 lengths in the Holy Bull, he dropped down in class just last weekend and lost on the turf, too. Enough said? Pretender.


Bourbon War [ML 10-1 – Tapit – M. Hennig/I.Ortiz Jr. – 3: 2-0-0 - $79,900 – 1 Derby point] This royally bred bay colt has a maiden victory and an allowance win sandwiched around a distant fourth-place finish in the Remsen behind three good horses. Bourbon War and Tax came back to win out of that December stakes race at Aqueduct. Sons of Tapit have done well on the Derby trail without having ever won the big one. Clearly, he has talent, but he will have to make a step up to win in a quality field like this one. Live longshot.


Vekoma [ML 7-2 – Candy Ride – G. Weaver/M. Franco – 2: 2-0-0 - $151,250 – 0 Derby points] Vekoma won his only races in New York in impressive fashion. He hasn’t run since taking the Nashua (G3) back in November and thus he slipped off a lot of Top 10 lists. But I believe he might be a bit under the radar. His connections are bullish on the talent of this son of Candy Ride. Although he did beat some good horses in the Nashua, he must now go two turns for the first time against a top-notch field off a layoff. Win contender.

Signalman [ML 9-2 – General Quarters – K. McPeek/B. Hernandez Jr. – 5: 2-2-1 - $448,990 – 18 Derby points] At the end of 2018, Signalman had landed near the top of most experts’ Derby lists after he ran a strong third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and followed that with a victory in the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2), both at Churchill Downs. With 18 Derby points already to his name, I expect that this big Kenny McPeek colt may not be at full fitness. He won’t be my pick to win the race, but he has hit the board in all five career starts. Use underneath.


Hidden Scroll [ML 9-5 – Hard Spun – B. Mott/J. Rosario – 1: 1-0-0 - $31,800 – 0 Derby points] This son of Hard Spun burst onto the Derby trail with his speedy and visually impressive 14-length debut victory in January on a sloppy Gulfstream track going a mile. He earned a 104 Beyer Speed Figure, pointing to the quality of his performance. But sloppy and sealed tracks like that one can become hard below the surface, making them speed-favoring, and Hard Spun tends to produce off-track runners. This Bill Mott trainee must perform on a dry track while stepping up to face graded stakes winners. A worthy favorite.


Global Campaign [ML 10-1 – Curlin – S. Hough/L. Saez – 2: 2-0-0 - $52,200 – 0 Derby points] This son of Curlin did not run as a 2-year-old, breaking his maiden at the beginning of January at Gulfstream Park. Since Justify ended the curse of Apollo last year, does that mean we don’t have to worry about this one's relatively light resume? He returned in February following a minor foot issue to impress at the Fountain of Youth's distance. Global Campaign has the talent and the pedigree to run all day long, but he has to get the required Derby points. His running style is well-suited to Gulfstream. Win contender.


Everfast [ML 20-1 – Take Charge Indy – D. Romans/C. Landeros – 7: 1-1-1 - $109,885 – 4 Derby points] One thing is clear about this Dale Romans runner is that we won’t be getting 128-1 again. Clearly, he got an ideal setup in the Holy Bull, where the pace-setters backed out of it nearing the wire. But the quality of the field improves significantly as the importance of the Derby preps increases. Toss.


Frosted Grace [ML 30-1 – Mark Valeski – K. Ritvo/J. Gonzalez – 5: 1-1-1 - $42,325 – 0 Derby points] This Florida-based runner broke his maiden in October at Gulfstream Park West going seven-furlongs and since then he was second by a neck in a one-mile allowance race. Stepping up to stakes company in the Swale (G3) around one turn, he could not keep up. He now faces added distance and quality of competition. Toss.


Union’s Destiny [ML 30-1 – Union Rags – J. Avila/L. Reyes – 3: 1-1-1 - $39,750 – 0 Derby points] The son of Union Rags has made all three of his starts at Gulfstream Park. He broke his maiden in August and then in December he was third in the Smooth Air Stakes. He returns to the races in a tough spot. Toss.
I've found it easier to tear up tickets at 8/1 instead of 8/5.
Izvestia
Posts: 3900
Joined: Fri Sep 13, 2013 7:16 am

Fri Mar 01, 2019 12:32 pm

I would love to see Mott proceed to the Derby with a nice colt, so my heart is cheering Hidden Scroll. I guess we’ll see if he’s the real deal.
I also like Vekoma, who like someone said, he’s flying under the radar.
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Raven
Posts: 1315
Joined: Thu Sep 12, 2013 6:56 pm

Sun Mar 03, 2019 11:47 am

Crickets

I Guess cause he is not a So Cal horse trained by BB

Anyway, he is legit!
You will soon break the bow if you keep it always stretched ~Faedus~
Izvestia
Posts: 3900
Joined: Fri Sep 13, 2013 7:16 am

Sun Mar 03, 2019 11:54 am

It’s funny, I told myself before this race the top 2 are probably more turf-oriented based on their pedigrees, so I guess I was wrong. I like the top 4 moving forward, and TBH I am hoping a BB horse doesn’t win this year because I am sick of him.
stark
Posts: 4490
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Tue Mar 05, 2019 5:36 pm

Randy Moss
‏@randy_moss_TV

Since 2012, Gulfstream Park has carded 501 races at 1 1-16 miles. Of all those, Saturday’s Fountain of Youth had the 5th fastest 1/4- and 1/2-mile fractions. Food for handicapping thought the next time Hidden Scroll runs
I've found it easier to tear up tickets at 8/1 instead of 8/5.
Tessablue
Posts: 3582
Joined: Fri Sep 13, 2013 11:29 am
Location: Boston

Tue Mar 05, 2019 6:18 pm

Timeform's pace figures for the race were 166, 166, 140. Hard to fully convey how insanely fast that pace was.
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Gemini
Posts: 55
Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2019 9:26 pm

Mon Mar 11, 2019 12:13 am

Honestly, Hidden Scroll ran quite well considering this was his second lifetime race. Perhaps finishing fourth is a blessing in disguise so he doesn't get shoved into the Kentucky Derby and and permanently fried.

Hopefully Tacitus winning the TB Derby means there's less pressure on Hidden Scroll.
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Raven
Posts: 1315
Joined: Thu Sep 12, 2013 6:56 pm

Mon Mar 11, 2019 6:33 pm

I think the Wood should be the race that Hidden Scroll runs in. for the points. 9 Furlongs at Aqueduct will suit his style best
You will soon break the bow if you keep it always stretched ~Faedus~
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