Kentucky Derby Top 5

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Thu Mar 14, 2019 9:16 am

1. Code of Honor

He already has the points, should like going longer, and his turfy pedigree could make him jump up a little on the Churchill track. Trainer knows how to win Derby.

2. Improbable
3. Omaha Beach
4. Outshine
5. Game Winner
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Sun Mar 17, 2019 11:45 am

Week 2

1 Code of Honor - Remains at Top.
2 Omaha Beach- Moves up to #2 The likely Kentucky Derby favorite.
3 Outshine
4 Game Winner- Solid Effort yesterday.
5 Improbable- Drops from 2 to 5. May not want to go 10F.
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Sun Mar 24, 2019 1:57 am

Omaha Beach at #1. Don't care for the rest. I only care about making money on the winner.

I believe we'll have another rainy Kentucky Derby knowing this year has been very wet across the country. Mike Smith already won it last year. Horse has a good early speed. I also want to see Richard Mandella finally win a Ky Derby.

http://cs.bloodhorse.com/blogs/kentucky ... -farm.aspx
1. Omaha Beach Richard Mandella
War Front—Charming, by Seeking the Gold

Yes, I’m well aware Game Winner probably should still be No. 1, but I have been enamored with this colt since his second in a maiden race and am willing to take a shot with him as opposed to the logical choice. The facts are he defeated a three-time grade 1 winner and champion in the Rebel Stakes despite never having faced winners, never having been two turns on dirt, never having won on a fast track, and coming off a quarter crack, and he still was able to dig in gamely and hold him off, with Game Winner 8 1/4 lengths ahead of the third horse. You also have to take into consideration the amount of improvement he still has and the progression he’s on, and indicated by his continuously increasing Beyer figures – 62, 78, 80, 83, 90, 96. What I loved was the way Mike Smith was sitting motionless on him at the top of the stretch while Joel Rosario was pushing hard on Game Winner, and Smith never went to the whip in the stretch. When Game Winner came charging up alongside him right before the wire and looked to have him measured, Smith hit him once left-handed and he battled back, despite Smith losing hold of the reins, which were dangling as Smith tried to grab onto anything, including the colt’s mane. Omaha Beach was clearly in front one step past the wire and quickly opened two lengths on the gallop-out. I have been so impressed with everything about this colt -- his class, his stride, his balance – that I had him ranked No. 6 off a maiden sprint score in the slop back on Feb. 5. When he came down with a quarter crack and missed a scheduled allowance race I thought that was the end of his Derby chances, but he bounced back from that has been working lights out since. By missing the allowance race and being redirected to the Rebel, the pressure is now off for him having to finish first or second next time out.
Rock Hard Ten. Free House. Soul Of The Matter. Lit de Justice. Zenyatta. Justify. Cigar. Ghostzapper. Lava Man. Silver Charm.
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