Playing Poker with Woodbine’s $200,000 Pick 4

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promoter
Posts: 8
Joined: Thu Sep 12, 2013 6:39 pm

Sat Sep 14, 2013 6:56 pm

Check out Ed DeRosa's rundown of Sunday's Guaranteed Pick 4 including the $1 million Woodbine Mile.

http://www.brisnet.com/brisnet_promos/WOMile13P4.pdf
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dustino140
Posts: 5206
Joined: Sat Sep 14, 2013 4:51 pm

Sun Sep 15, 2013 11:40 am

Unfortunately, for me this just isn't a playable wager. If you're going to jump into the pool, you have to be shooting for at least one significant price, and I can't make a decent case against either Forte Dei Marmi or Wise Dan. Only 2 of the runners in the Northern Dancer haven't been handled easily by Forte Dei Marmi in the last 2 months, and they're 2-for-9 3yo Stormy Len and 20/1 outsider Turkish. Then Wise Dan is, well, Wise Dan and he scared everyone away. I guess you could single both and go relatively deep in the other two legs, but for me it doesn't make much sense to tie up wagering dollars for 90 minutes with a wager that could well pay very minimally, unless you try to beat one (or both) favorites.
Senator L
Posts: 1109
Joined: Thu Sep 12, 2013 8:44 pm

Mon Sep 16, 2013 9:17 pm

dustino140 wrote:Unfortunately, for me this just isn't a playable wager. If you're going to jump into the pool, you have to be shooting for at least one significant price, and I can't make a decent case against either Forte Dei Marmi or Wise Dan. Only 2 of the runners in the Northern Dancer haven't been handled easily by Forte Dei Marmi in the last 2 months, and they're 2-for-9 3yo Stormy Len and 20/1 outsider Turkish. Then Wise Dan is, well, Wise Dan and he scared everyone away. I guess you could single both and go relatively deep in the other two legs, but for me it doesn't make much sense to tie up wagering dollars for 90 minutes with a wager that could well pay very minimally, unless you try to beat one (or both) favorites.
You were spot on. Pick 4 paid $90.oo
No one has ever bet enough on a winning horse.
Richard Sasuly
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