1. Charlatan, 105 BSF
2. Sole Volante, 96 BSF
Charlatan: 16-1 x $25 = $400
Sole Volante: 22-1 x 4.55 = $100.10
Already bet my futures for both just a few hours ago. If neither one makes it into the Kentucky Derby like Omaha Beach didn't last year, I won't be picking another horse. I'm not over that Maximum Security disqualification even though I feel he deserved it. Will use a $29.55 capital for this race instead of the typical $100 to sometimes $120-$200.
I'm hoping Charlatan can make up the disappointment of Improbable from last year.
I know the first Baffert horse that comes to mind is Justify. Never raced as a 2YO. Chestnut. Debuts with a huge Beyer. We'll see. Need to see more and hope he even makes it to the Derby gate. Way too early to tell but his 6F is the fastest at the distance in Santa Anita in 2 years. Faster than last year's BC Sprint.
I told myself I would never be a fan of horse racing last year. Nah. I will always love horse racing. How can I hate something I followed since December 26, 1995? Heck, I still love Justify even though I read about the drugs thing he was on just last year about a few weeks after it broke out. I still love that horse. Just didn't leave a comment about it and shrugged it off. Cheating is all over any sport. Look at the 2017 and 2018 World Series. I still think Baffert is the GOAT horse trainer.
A few days ago, I googled if Silver Charm (1994) and Lava Man (2001) were both still alive and they still are. Made me smile. I guess I had an horse racing inch because I read the NFL free agency starts on March 18th. The Tom Brady mystery box will be unraveled if he's staying or going. Well, March 18 is Cigar's birthday. He'd be 30 next month. So it got me thinking about him (1990-2014), Skip Away (1993-2010), Holy Bull (1991-2017), which led to my curiosity if Silver Charm was still alive?
Then I googled what's going on with Lava Man who I absolutely adored as a racehorse since he made some good money. Remembered being one of the first people on here who touted him when making picks for the 2005 Hollywood Gold Cup when he was 6-1. I was an early bird for Rock Hard Ten, Lava Man, and Ghostzapper before the latter 2 became stars and HoFers. I read several years ago Lava Man became a lead pony and he still is.
'Coach' Lava Man
https://www.paulickreport.com/news/thor ... am-oneill/
Free House and Lava Man will always be my two favorite Cal-breds and I love California Chrome. Lava Man remains my favorite gelding ever and I had love for Funny Cide. I also miss Zenyatta. I loved that big mare. Just fond memories from several horses I enjoyed watching from the last 25 years. Names you see on my signature.
I still don't really follow the sport that much. Only the Triple Crown especially the Kentucky Derby which is my favorite race to watch and bet on since I first followed the sport in the mid-1990s. I hate what the Breeders' Cup has become. Didn't even watch it last year. I still wish the Breeders' Cup was a one-day event like old times. Just charge us $25 for a 14-race event like in 2003 and be done with it. None of this two-day BS.
I still think horse racing is animal cruelty. Maybe not always for the upper ranks but for the bottom feeders. It is what it is as they say. But I also miss the jigsaw puzzle of what the Kentucky Derby can be. I miss the annual TBC contest for it and some of the pageantry. The people are also wonderful in the industry and the ones who follow it. Not all of them but most. I miss thinking about the most exciting two minutes in sports. The Kentucky Derby really is our Super Bowl. No other race. Not even the BC Classic with superior horses.
Most of my thoughts is with the NBA because my LA Clippers are finally legitimate title contenders and I hate the Lakers. I love the LeBron vs Kawhi narrative. I still cried my eyes out when Kobe died. It still hurts me. And I hated Kobe for years because he did play for Lakers. I don't really "hate" him as a person. It's just having a protagonist and antagonist in my mind with sports. I never wish ill will on anybody even towards rivals. RIP to Kobe, Gigi, and the other 7 victims.
As of late, it's just basketball for me. A sport I followed since 1990 and my LA Clippers I followed since 1992. We have a horse named Nadal but I smiled when I saw a horse named Ginobili. Baseball was my first love back in 1987 though but I stopped watching after 1991. Still pissed my San Francisco 49ers lost that Super Bowl. Thanks, Kyle Shanahan. Still scoreless in the 4th quarter in both Super Bowls. Lost $100 bet on my Niners to net profit close to $300. Oh, well. Both my LA Clippers and San Francisco 49ers are still positioned to be a dynasty.
I'll watch First Take and The Undisputed talk about the same thing over and over which is usually Lakers vs Clippers or LeBron vs Kawhi this year and I'll comment about it everywhere on YouTube. If it's not the NBA I'm watching I have a Regal Unlimited Pass for movies. Horse racing is a once, twice, or thrice thing for me. A hobby for a couple months (April-June) to pay attention to.
Going back to the Derby contenders, it's only Charlatan and Sole Volante for me. At least in my bets. I wasn't impressed at all by Nadal, Thousand Words, and Silver Prospector. I don't see the separation or blazing fast closing speed late. Independence Hall is a big gorgeous horse and I don't see it in him either. Sole Volante handled him easily. I got 2 horses with contrasting running-styles.
If Charlatan burns out, I got Sole picking up the pieces late. Sole's kick is extraordinary. It's Zenyatta-esque. I like any horse who can win on dirt and turf. The running-style is scary to have in the Derby with so much traffic but he can also save ground early like Street Sense did. Post position won't matter to him. The last three Derby runnings have been sloppy though. Suited better for Charlatan. The cleanest-looking horse tends to be the one crossing first.
My Derby Picks
2015: Dortmund (3rd)
2016: Nyquist (1st)
2017: Always Dreaming (1st)
2018: Justify (1st)
2019: Maximum Security (1st but DQ'd to 17th)
2020: Charlatan (??)
Sole Volante is my backup like Improbable was to Maximum Security last year. In 2018, it was pretty much all Justify. I liked Mendelssohn and Audible but Justify was easily a single for me. I didn't have much faith in Baffert's 3YOs last year. I have faith this year. Time for Baffert and Charlatan to win the Derby for us Californians again. We can't win it every year but we can win it again this year.
Californian Derby Winners -
2012: I'll Have Another
2014: California Chrome
2015: American Pharoah
I gave a chance to an East Coast horse last year and the 2019 Florida Derby winner's jockey blew it. I had a feeling Luis Saez was going to mess it up with his lack of Derby experience and he did. Time for another Californian to recapture the Kentucky Derby throne again. Show them how it's really done.
Knowing my bad luck, Charlatan and Sole Volante will both lose. Maximum Security got disqualified that cost me $500 in winnings. My Niners blew it in the 4th quarter to the Chiefs. I had money on the Bucks last year and they blew it after going up 2-0 to the Raptors.
A no call on a pass interference killed my Patriots-Saints bet last year. My Clippers will probably lose this year as well to the dreaded Lakers who I hate or the Bucks who I betted last year or the Sixers who I betted a year before that. Two East Coast teams that blew it for me as well.
My last winner? Justify. And Charlatan reminds alot of us of him.
How far will Charlatan go?
https://www.horseracingnation.com/blogs ... cts_go_123
Rock Hard Ten. Free House. Soul Of The Matter. Lit de Justice. Zenyatta. Justify. Cigar. Ghostzapper. Lava Man. Silver Charm.